Tag Archives: football

Is xG any good at predicting game outcomes?

Introduction One can’t afford to ignore Expected Goals (xG) now that Match of the Day are giving the metric such a huge profile. I’m not a massive fan of xG, but I thought it was worth further investigation and so, … Continue reading

Aside | Posted on by | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Shooting stars of the MLS

The easiest and (probably) best way to cluster with respect to a binary variable (goals vs. shots) is to use the algorithm known as classification by decision tree induction (DT) Continue reading

Posted in shot statistics, Soccer analytics, Sports Analytics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Rank and Cluster of teams by Shot Statistics – EPL 2015-16

Thanks to Michael Caley‘s for sharing the data (http://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2014/2/12/5404348/english-premier-league-shot-statistics) which allowed this analysis to take place.  Michael’s Glossary of the stats copied from the same blog has been added at the bottom. I have taken taken the data from the … Continue reading

Posted in shot statistics, Soccer analytics, Soccer match analysis, Sports Analytics | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Are defences dominating this World Cup?

Attacking teams sell tickets, but defensive ones win games.  So far, the 2014 World Cup is not the exception, especially considering that after the fireworks of the group stage, knockout clashes have resulted in many draws, and a dearth of … Continue reading

Posted in Soccer analytics, Sports Analytics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Analytic insights and dubious corners stats

Does Manchester City’s much publicised analytic insight on corners stands up to scrutiny? There are reasons to doubt it! Corners are one of the key moments in a match that grab fans’ attention.  There is always high expectation that a … Continue reading

Posted in Soccer analytics, Sports Analytics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Best and worst defensive performance – 2013 EPL

Introduction The idea for this analysis came from reading Paul Power February post, where he sets out to analyse Defensive Efficiency (Deff). To measure it he lists seven variables, and reasons for his choice. These are: 1. Goals Conceded (GC) … Continue reading

Posted in Soccer analytics, Sports Analytics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Points table vs. Performance table – take your pick

Continuing my analysis of the MCFC Analytics project data for the 2012 EPL season, in this post I try to give an answer to a much debated argument among fans, namely:  does the number of points gained by a team … Continue reading

Posted in Soccer analytics, Sports Analytics, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment