Tag Archives: football

Mohamed Salah at Roma and Liverpool

The analysis shows that Salah performance has much improved at Liverpool. The number of goals scored – double his tally (31 vs. 15) at Roma with roughly the same number of matches and minutes played – is a strong indicator. But we must account that at Roma he had fewer shots (74 vs. 132) as Dzeko was the main target there.the right side of the goal (Pic. 1), while at Liverpool were more evenly distributed, though the right side remained favourite. Logically, this also the side where most of his shots assists came from. Continue reading

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Is xG any good at predicting game outcomes?

Introduction One can’t afford to ignore Expected Goals (xG) now that Match of the Day are giving the metric such a huge profile. I’m not a massive fan of xG, but I thought it was worth further investigation and so, … Continue reading

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Shooting stars of the MLS

The easiest and (probably) best way to cluster with respect to a binary variable (goals vs. shots) is to use the algorithm known as classification by decision tree induction (DT) Continue reading

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Rank and Cluster of teams by Shot Statistics – EPL 2015-16

Thanks to Michael Caley‘s for sharing the data (http://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2014/2/12/5404348/english-premier-league-shot-statistics) which allowed this analysis to take place.  Michael’s Glossary of the stats copied from the same blog has been added at the bottom. I have taken taken the data from the … Continue reading

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Are defences dominating this World Cup?

Attacking teams sell tickets, but defensive ones win games.  So far, the 2014 World Cup is not the exception, especially considering that after the fireworks of the group stage, knockout clashes have resulted in many draws, and a dearth of … Continue reading

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Analytic insights and dubious corners stats

Does Manchester City’s much publicised analytic insight on corners stands up to scrutiny? There are reasons to doubt it! Corners are one of the key moments in a match that grab fans’ attention.  There is always high expectation that a … Continue reading

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Best and worst defensive performance – 2013 EPL

Introduction The idea for this analysis came from reading Paul Power February post, where he sets out to analyse Defensive Efficiency (Deff). To measure it he lists seven variables, and reasons for his choice. These are: 1. Goals Conceded (GC) … Continue reading

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