Category Archives: Soccer analytics

Advanced statistical analysis of soccer match data

Conversion rates (SG) by shot Location

How shot location affects goal conversion (SG) in the MLS Continue reading

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Shooting stars of the MLS

The easiest and (probably) best way to cluster with respect to a binary variable (goals vs. shots) is to use the algorithm known as classification by decision tree induction (DT) Continue reading

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Can we judge performance accurately without knowing The plan?

Football performance is judged by analysing video and data from a match, or from many matches.  But do video and data provide all the information we need to judge performance accurately?  I don’t think so.  A vital piece of information … Continue reading

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Possession chains and passing sequences

My method is based on the analysis of the Possession of each team. A Possession is defined as a sequence of events (ball touches) which starts when a team gets the ball and ends when the team loses it to the opposition. The method views a football match as a series of alternate Possession. Continue reading

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Rank and Cluster of teams by Shot Statistics – EPL 2015-16

Thanks to Michael Caley‘s for sharing the data (http://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2014/2/12/5404348/english-premier-league-shot-statistics) which allowed this analysis to take place.  Michael’s Glossary of the stats copied from the same blog has been added at the bottom. I have taken taken the data from the … Continue reading

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Analytics first, sport second

This blog was written to fulfill a promise made to Ravi (@Scribblr_42) in a tweet back in February to explain why I strongly disagreed with a statement by Dean Oliver (@DeanO_Lytics) at the Opta Forum (http://bit.ly/1Uw5DCO) last February, and that … Continue reading

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Finding changes in tactics and their impact on a match – statistical and graphical analysis

This blog is a longer (and revised) version of my poster at the OptaPro Sports Analytic forum 2015, held in London on 5th February 2015. Introduction When a team is goal down or up, a manager may change tactics (formation) … Continue reading

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