Author Archives: soccerlogic

About soccerlogic

Data analyst/miner of 23 years experience. Pretty sure I was first (1998) to apply Statistical Analysis and Machine Learning to study performance in soccer. I probably invented Soccer Analytics or, as I called it then, Football Intelligence. Haven't stop learning since, and experimenting new analysis that can help teams improve performance.

Is xG any good at predicting game outcomes?

Introduction One can’t afford to ignore Expected Goals (xG) now that Match of the Day are giving the metric such a huge profile. I’m not a massive fan of xG, but I thought it was worth further investigation and so, … Continue reading

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Conversion rates (SG) by shot Location

How shot location affects goal conversion (xG) in the MLS Continue reading

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Shooting stars of the MLS

The easiest and (probably) best way to cluster with respect to a binary variable (goals vs. shots) is to use the algorithm known as classification by decision tree induction (DT) Continue reading

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Can we judge performance accurately without knowing The plan?

Football performance is judged by analysing video and data from a match, or from many matches.  But do video and data provide all the information we need to judge performance accurately?  I don’t think so.  A vital piece of information … Continue reading

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Possession chains and passing sequences

My method is based on the analysis of the Possession of each team. A Possession is defined as a sequence of events (ball touches) which starts when a team gets the ball and ends when the team loses it to the opposition. The method views a football match as a series of alternate Possession. Continue reading

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Rank and Cluster of teams by Shot Statistics – EPL 2015-16

Thanks to Michael Caley‘s for sharing the data (http://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2014/2/12/5404348/english-premier-league-shot-statistics) which allowed this analysis to take place.  Michael’s Glossary of the stats copied from the same blog has been added at the bottom. I have taken taken the data from the … Continue reading

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Analytics first, sport second

This blog was written to fulfill a promise made to Ravi (@Scribblr_42) in a tweet back in February to explain why I strongly disagreed with a statement by Dean Oliver (@DeanO_Lytics) at the Opta Forum (http://bit.ly/1Uw5DCO) last February, and that … Continue reading

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